2026 Bahamas Real Estate Market Report | Glenn Ferguson | Nassau & Paradise Island
Updated February 2026

2026 Bahamas Luxury Real Estate Market Report

Record-breaking tourism, the largest crime reduction since 1963, tightening luxury inventory, and updated tax policy define the Bahamas property market entering 2026. The Bahamas welcomed 12.5 million visitors in 2025 — the highest ever — generating $7 billion in tourism revenue. Murders fell 31%. Prime residential prices grew 5.1% in 2024 (Knight Frank PIRI), outperforming the global average.

12.5M2025 Visitors (Record)
-31%Murders (Historic Low)
+5.1%Prime Growth (2024)
-20%Luxury Inventory vs Prior
Glenn Ferguson
Glenn Ferguson — Licensed Bahamas Real Estate Agent
BREA Licensed · Bahamas MLS · Residency Consultant · 24+ Years
BREABREA Licensed
MLSBahamas MLS
24+ Years On-the-Ground
All Islands Coverage
Residency Consultant
Market Snapshot

What Is the Bahamas Real Estate Market Doing in 2026?

The Bahamas luxury real estate market enters 2026 in strong position. Nassau median home prices sit around $495,000, with an average sale price near $590,000. The luxury segment — properties above $3 million — has roughly doubled in value since 2020. Waterfront inventory is approximately 20% below recent levels. Prime residential price growth registered 5.1% in 2024, above the 3.6% global average.
~$495KNassau Median Price
~$590KNassau Avg. Sale Price
+5.1%Prime Growth (2024)
~2×Luxury ($3M+) Since 2020

The Bahamas ranked 31st globally in the Knight Frank Prime International Residential Index for 2025, exceeding both the global and "sun destinations" averages. Approximately half of wealthy expats in The Bahamas are now permanent residents, up from about 20% before the pandemic.

Inventory compression is the defining theme. With new construction limited and foreign buyer demand sustained, well-located luxury properties are selling faster and at stronger prices than any point in the past decade. The IMF's February 2026 Article IV consultation confirmed 2.8% real GDP growth for 2025, supported by construction and cruise tourism, with inflation remaining under 1%.

Glenn
Glenn's Insider Tip

"I've watched this cycle develop over 24 years. For sellers — contact me for a market valuation. For buyers, the best inventory moves before it hits the portal — don't wait until you're 'ready' to start the search."

Goldwynn Bahamas luxury residences overlooking the ocean
Public Safety

Why the Crime Numbers Matter for Investors

2025 delivered the largest percentage drop in homicides since the Royal Bahamas Police Force began tracking in 1963. Murders fell 31% (83 vs 120 in 2024). Major crimes overall fell 15%. Armed robberies dropped 39%. This is the most significant safety improvement in modern Bahamian history — and it directly impacts property values, insurance costs, and international buyer confidence.
-31%Murders (83 vs 120)
-15%Major Crimes Overall
-39%Armed Robberies
-27%Crimes Against Person

Police Commissioner Shanta Knowles attributed the reductions to intelligence-led policing, targeted operations, and stronger community partnerships. The 65% murder detection rate signals improved investigative capability. The 83 murders in 2025 represent the lowest figure in a comparable policing environment since 2008.

For property investors, this trend matters. Safety perception influences international buyer demand, vacation rental bookings, and insurance premiums. Luxury communities like Lyford Cay, Albany, Old Fort Bay, and Ocean Club Estates maintain private security and gated access, offering an additional layer. If sustained, these improvements could become one of the strongest catalysts for emerging luxury market valuations.

Glenn
Glenn's Insider Tip

"I've lived in Nassau my entire career. The 2025 numbers are genuinely encouraging — the armed robbery decline especially. My gated community clients rarely encounter security issues, but the broader improvement benefits everyone through rental demand and property values."

The Tourism Engine

Why Record Tourism Matters for Property Values

The Bahamas shattered its tourism record in 2025 with 12.5 million total visitors — an 11.4% increase year-over-year and over 72% above pre-pandemic 2019 levels. Tourism revenue hit $7 billion for the first time. This is the third consecutive year of record-breaking performance.
12.5MTotal Visitors (2025)
$7BTourism Revenue
~1.8MStopover Visitors
10.6MSea Arrivals (+14% YoY)

Stopover visitors spend approximately 20 times more per person than cruise passengers, making them the primary economic driver for vacation rental properties. Nearly 30% of stopover visitors now travel to the Out Islands, spreading demand well beyond Nassau.

Cruise arrivals accounted for 86.5% of total visitors (10.6 million), nearly double 2019 levels. International air stopovers totalled approximately 1.7 million — slightly below 2024's 1.82 million due to weather disruptions and aviation constraints, but still above 2019's 1.81 million. Canada emerged as a bright spot: stopovers surpassed pre-pandemic levels driven by Porter Airlines, WestJet, and Air Canada expansions. Canadian visitors now account for 7% of stopover business.

The IMF noted that hotel capacity constraints are limiting stopover growth. The government's response: $10B+ in new touristic investment in the pipeline, plus the Home Sweet Home grant programme expanding short-term vacation rental supply.

Glenn
Glenn's Insider Tip

"Tourism demand is structural, not cyclical. I factor these patterns into every investment pro-forma I build. The Canadian airlift expansion is opening a new buyer pipeline — I'm seeing more Vancouver and Toronto families than ever."

Buyer Demographics

Who Is Buying Bahamas Real Estate in 2026?

American buyers continue to dominate the foreign property market, followed by Europeans and Canadians. Approximately half of wealthy expats are now permanent residents — up from about 20% pre-pandemic. The most significant shift: the buyer profile has moved from "vacation home" to "primary base."
~35%US International Buyers
~30%European Buyers
~10%Canadian Buyers
~25%Other International

Remote work, tax optimisation, and lifestyle quality are driving longer stays and eventual permanent relocation. The $1M EPR threshold continues attracting tax-motivated investors. More than $10 billion in new private-sector investment has been committed since 2021 — much of it in resort and residential development.

Developers are increasingly building turn-key condominiums with resort amenities, catering to "lock-and-leave" buyers who want island ownership without standalone estate maintenance. Branded residence demand — Four Seasons, Montage, Goldwynn — continues to drive the premium segment.

Island-by-Island Analysis

Which Bahamas Island Is the Best Investment in 2026?

Nassau and Paradise Island remain the safest long-term investment with the deepest buyer pool. Exuma and Harbour Island deliver the highest yields. Abaco hit a record ~520,000 visitors. Grand Bahama crossed 1 million visitors for the first time in 22 years.
Glenn
Glenn's Insider Tip

"I work across all six markets and I'll honestly tell you which fits — even if it's not what you expected. A rental buyer needs a different island than a privacy buyer. A portal can't make that distinction."

Nassau's Luxury Communities

How Do the Top Communities Compare?

Nassau's western corridor — Lyford Cay, Old Fort Bay, and Albany — remains the crown jewel. Paradise Island leads branded residences. Cable Beach / Baha Mar offers strongest rental returns with newer construction.
CommunityPrice RangeCharacterBest For
Ocean Club Estates$3M – $40M+Ultra-luxury, Four SeasonsTrophy assets
Lyford Cay$2M – $30M+Historic, most exclusivePrivacy, generational wealth
Albany$2M – $25M+Resort, mega-yacht marinaUHNW lifestyle
Old Fort Bay$2M – $20M+Colonial charm, waterfrontLong-term appreciation
Cable Beach / Baha Mar$1M – $15M+Branded residencesRental income
Palm Cay$600K – $3M+Modern marina villageEntry-level luxury

Glenn has closed transactions in every community and knows the micro-markets — which streets appreciate fastest, which HOAs are best-managed. Contact Glenn for community-specific insight or a tailored property shortlist.

The Bahamas Tax Advantage

How Much Can You Save by Moving to The Bahamas?

Zero income tax, zero capital gains tax, zero inheritance tax, zero wealth tax. For UHNW individuals relocating from high-tax jurisdictions, savings can be hundreds of thousands to millions annually. This is the #1 driver of EPR applications.
0%Income Tax
0%Capital Gains
0%Inheritance Tax
0%Rental Income Tax
Tax TypeBahamasUnited StatesUnited KingdomCanada
Income Tax0%Up to 37%Up to 45%Up to 53%
Capital Gains0%Up to 20%Up to 24%Up to 26.8%
Inheritance / Estate0%Up to 40%Up to 40%Deemed disposition
Property Tax (Owner-Occ.)0% – 1%*Varies by stateCouncil taxVaries by province

*Owner-occupied: first $300K exempt, 0.625% on $300K–$500K, 1% above $500K. Annual cap of $150,000 (updated July 2025 from $120,000) — requires 183+ days/year residence to qualify for the cap. EPR holders meeting the 90-day minimum qualify for the graduated rates but should confirm cap eligibility with their attorney.

US citizens are taxed on worldwide income regardless of residency. Always consult your home-country tax advisor.

Glenn
Glenn's Insider Tip

"The 5% buyer-share VAT combined with zero ongoing taxation remains the most favourable structure in the Caribbean. But the July 2025 compliance changes mean your attorney needs to obtain a VAT invoice from the DIR before executing — plan for this in your timeline."

Buying Process

What Does It Cost to Buy Property in The Bahamas?

Total buyer-side closing costs are approximately 7–8% of purchase price. The VAT on conveyance (5% buyer share for properties above $1M) is the largest cost. Process takes 60–90 days. Glenn provides a complete cost breakdown before you commit.
Cost ItemBuyer PaysNotes
VAT on Conveyance5%10% total (for $1M+ properties); typically split 50/50
Legal Fees1–2.5%Title search, conveyance, closing
VAT on Professional Services10% of feesApplied to legal and real estate fees
Title Insurance (optional)0.5–1%Recommended for foreign buyers
Total Buyer Costs~7–8%Of purchase price
$750K Condo~$56K buyer costs
$1.5M Home~$119K buyer costs
$3M Estate~$225K buyer costs

Can foreigners get a mortgage? Yes — RBC Royal Bank, CIBC FirstCaribbean, and Scotiabank lend to non-residents. Expect 30–50% down, 6–8% rates. About 75% of foreign luxury purchases are cash.

Ongoing costs: annual property tax (graduated 0.625–1% above $300K, $150K annual cap with 183-day residence), insurance (1.5–3% of insured value), HOA fees ($400–$2,500+/month), and property management (20–30% of gross rental income).

Timeline: Central Bank approval 2–3 weeks. Total 60–90 days. For EPR purchases ($1M+), residency application can be filed simultaneously.

⚠ Mistake to Avoid

Budgeting 2–3% for closing because a blog only mentioned "legal fees." The 5% VAT on conveyance is the largest cost and surprises most first-time buyers. Use the EPR Cost Calculator for a full estimate.

2025–2026 Policy Updates

What Changed in Bahamas Tax & Real Estate Law?

Several significant legislative changes took effect in 2025 and early 2026 that affect real estate transactions, property tax, and cost of living. International buyers should plan accordingly.
✓ July 2025 — Property Tax Cap Raised to $150,000

The Real Property Tax (Amendment) Act, 2025 (No. 43 of 2025) raised the annual cap from $120,000 to $150,000. To qualify for the cap, owners must reside in the property for at least 183 days per year. "Owner-occupied" now requires a minimum of 90 days/year. EPR holders meeting only the 90-day minimum qualify for graduated rates but should confirm cap eligibility with their attorney.

✓ July 2025 — VAT Compliance for Real Estate Transactions

Parties must now obtain a VAT invoice from the Department of Inland Revenue (DIR) before executing the conveyance. Conveyances must be registered within 180 days. A declaration must be filed within 30 days when conveying a beneficial interest. Transferors and agents face a 3% penalty for non-compliance. Plan this step into your closing timeline.

✓ January 2026 — VAT on Food Removed

PM Davis announced elimination of VAT on unprepared food, effective April 1, 2026 (reduced from 5% to 0%). This lowers cost of living for residents. Standard VAT rate remains 10% for other goods and services. The IMF estimates a revenue impact of ~0.2% of GDP.

✓ January 2026 — Expanded Property Tax Relief

Owner-occupied duplexes and triplexes now qualify for the residential property tax exemption. First-time homeowner concessions expanded. These changes primarily benefit Bahamian buyers but contribute to overall market stability and housing affordability.

Glenn
Glenn's Insider Tip

"The July 2025 VAT invoice requirement is the one that catches buyers off-guard. Your attorney must now request the invoice from DIR before the conveyance can be executed — this can add a week to closing if not planned ahead. I coordinate this with my attorney network to keep timelines on track."

Your Bahamas Market Expert

Why Glenn Ferguson Is the Agent International Buyers Trust

Glenn Ferguson

Glenn Ferguson

Glenn handles the entire buyer journey — property search, negotiation, attorney coordination, closing, and EPR filing — under one roof. One relationship replaces three separate firms.

Off-market access. Many luxury properties sell before hitting the MLS. Glenn surfaces opportunities across Lyford Cay, Ocean Club Estates, Albany, Old Fort Bay, and the Family Islands.

Comparable sales data. Portals show asking prices. Glenn provides actual closed prices, $/sqft trends, and days-on-market.

Rental income projections. Property-specific pro-formas with nightly rates, seasonal occupancy, management fees, and net yield.

For wedding clients considering property — Glenn is also a WPIC-certified wedding planner and licensed Marriage Officer. BahamasPackageWedding.com.

BREA Licensed Bahamas MLS Residency Consultant 24+ Years All Islands
2026–2030 Forecast

What Is Glenn's Outlook for the Next Five Years?

Continued growth with moderation. Luxury will lead, supported by global wealth trends, structural tourism demand at 12M+ visitors, and enduring tax advantages. GDP reached ~$16.4B in 2025. The IMF projects gradual convergence toward 1.5–2% long-run growth, with inflation remaining benign under 1.5%.

1. Family Island diversification. Buyers and developers looking to Exuma, Eleuthera, Abaco, Andros, and Long Island as Nassau fills out. Nearly 30% of stopovers now visit Out Islands — up significantly from pre-pandemic patterns.

2. Branded residences pipeline. Four Seasons Paradise Island (~2027), Montage Cay on Abaco, and Goldwynn Cable Beach will attract new international buyers. Over $10B in private-sector investment committed since 2021.

3. Remote work permanence. Eastern time zone, fibre-optic infrastructure (1GB+ speeds), proximity to US airports, and dramatically improved safety metrics make The Bahamas increasingly viable as a primary base.

4. Resilient construction standards. Post-Dorian building codes becoming standard, reducing the risk profile and improving insurance rates for newer builds.

5. EPR demand sustained. The $1M threshold continues attracting tax-motivated investors. Zero income, capital gains, and inheritance tax. January 2026 food VAT elimination further improves cost of living.

6. Safety trajectory as catalyst. If 2025's crime reductions are sustained, expect accelerated international buyer interest. Historically, safety improvements are among the strongest catalysts for emerging luxury market valuations.

Key risks: Global slowdown (US recession would reduce tourism and buyer demand), natural disasters, and potential new tax measures (IMF recommends income tax and 15% VAT — the government has rejected both). The Bahamas' high public debt (74% of GDP) means fiscal policy bears watching.

Frequently Asked Questions

Bahamas Real Estate Market FAQ

Is now a good time to buy real estate in The Bahamas?
The fundamentals are strong: record 12.5M visitors in 2025, $7B tourism revenue, murders down 31% (largest decrease since 1963), prime prices grew 5.1% in 2024 outpacing the 3.6% global average, and luxury inventory is ~20% below recent levels. IMF confirmed 2.8% GDP growth for 2025 with inflation under 1%. Ask Glenn for a personalized assessment.
What are luxury real estate prices in 2026?
Nassau median ~$495,000, average sale ~$590,000. Paradise Island condos from $700K–$800K. Ocean Club, Lyford Cay, Albany: $2M–$40M+. Properties above $3M have roughly doubled since 2020. Browse current listings.
Which island has the best rental returns?
Exuma: ~$750/night avg with 70–75% peak occupancy. Harbour Island: $450–$800. Paradise Island: $400–$1,200. Nassau leads in volume and year-round consistency. Glenn provides property-specific pro-formas with net yield projections.
Can foreign buyers purchase property?
Yes. Same freehold ownership as Bahamian citizens for residential property. No permit needed for owner-occupied homes. BIA permit required for undeveloped land 5+ acres, non-owner-occupied, or commercial. BSD pegged 1:1 to USD. Foreign buyer's guide.
How does buying property lead to residency?
Invest $1,000,000+ in residential real estate to qualify for Economic Permanent Residency (EPR). Zero income, capital gains, and inheritance tax. Must hold 10 years, spend 90 days/year in The Bahamas. $1.5M+ gets accelerated processing. Glenn manages both purchase and EPR application. Residency guide.
What are closing costs?
7–8% of purchase price. VAT on conveyance 10% (split 50/50 = 5% buyer). Legal fees 1–2.5%. Title insurance optional 0.5–1%. As of July 2025, a VAT invoice from the DIR is required before executing the conveyance — factor this into your timeline. Cost calculator.
How much is Bahamas property tax?
Owner-occupied: 0% on first $300K, 0.625% on $300K–$500K, 1% above $500K. Annual cap of $150,000 (updated July 2025 from $120K, requires 183+ days/year residence). Owner-occupied duplexes and triplexes now qualify for the residential exemption (January 2026).
Is The Bahamas safe for property buyers?
Safety improved significantly. Murders fell 31% in 2025 (83 vs 120) — the largest percentage decrease since tracking began in 1963. Major crimes fell 15%. Armed robberies fell 39%. Luxury communities have private security and gated access. The 83 murders is the lowest in a comparable policing environment since 2008.
Can foreigners get a mortgage?
Yes. RBC Royal Bank, CIBC FirstCaribbean, Scotiabank. 30–50% down, 6–8% rates, 15–25 year terms. ~75% of foreign luxury purchases are cash. Glenn connects you with lending officers directly.
How long does the purchase take?
60–90 days from accepted offer. Central Bank approval 2–3 weeks. Cash purchases can close 45–60 days. EPR application can be filed simultaneously with $1M+ purchases. As of July 2025, conveyances must be registered with DIR within 180 days.
What is the 2026–2030 outlook?
Continued growth with moderation. IMF projects GDP growing ~1.5–2.1% annually. Tourism is structural at 12M+ visitors. $10B+ in private-sector investment since 2021. Four Seasons Paradise Island (~2027), Montage Cay Abaco in pipeline. Historic crime reductions, if sustained, will further support premium valuations. Key risk: US economic slowdown affecting tourism.

Ready to Invest in Bahamas Real Estate?

Glenn Ferguson — 24+ years, full MLS access, off-market inventory, and residency filing. One call starts everything.